Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 2.909649 3.227031 3.570076 3.969305 4.422257 4.921466 5.515036
2025-04-20 2.439595 2.864212 3.355102 3.967943 4.717221 5.609452 6.761215
2025-04-27 2.177080 2.666575 3.261785 4.045891 5.062145 6.349200 8.125727
2025-05-04 1.989017 2.520553 3.193857 4.120891 5.382328 7.065645 9.527701
2025-05-11 1.832296 2.389190 3.119388 4.163439 5.645278 7.715646 10.904620
2025-05-18 1.701068 2.273862 3.047930 4.192288 5.878922 8.335533 12.303840
2025-05-25 1.544936 2.107934 2.888056 4.074053 5.878690 8.602343 13.187189
2025-06-01 1.432895 1.992858 2.787209 4.027180 5.972220 9.010122 14.333785
2025-06-08 1.341361 1.898923 2.707324 4.000863 6.089086 9.458997 15.598195
2025-06-15 1.303007 1.879232 2.734107 4.138405 6.476196 10.384413 17.812862
2025-06-22 1.231454 1.803675 2.669029 4.122247 6.605270 10.883439 19.318995
2025-06-29 1.160778 1.724210 2.591302 4.077243 6.678052 11.287069 20.694848
2025-07-06 1.058673 1.590702 2.421287 3.868635 6.452990 11.141809 20.995812
2025-07-13 1.010613 1.540007 2.381164 3.877502 6.616522 11.734552 22.895107
2025-07-20 0.980116 1.515337 2.381374 3.955396 6.912549 12.612874 25.543307
2025-07-27 0.951096 1.490915 2.379723 4.028826 7.206117 13.519968 28.411681
2025-08-03 0.918657 1.458521 2.361823 4.070334 7.440751 14.333686 31.208497
2025-08-10 0.886414 1.424324 2.338155 4.098440 7.650358 15.118682 34.078633
2025-08-17 0.833970 1.352318 2.243169 3.983315 7.556127 15.231341 35.277721
2025-08-24 0.796081 1.303542 2.186590 3.937671 7.601284 15.657994 37.368737
2025-08-31 0.763783 1.262838 2.142072 3.912041 7.685945 16.184154 39.827257
2025-09-07 0.755854 1.265057 2.176276 4.045979 8.129930 17.610516 45.102845
2025-09-14 0.728158 1.229961 2.138599 4.030245 8.239095 18.241441 48.198265